Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.198322 3.523279 3.874890 4.284917 4.751571 5.268050 5.885544
2025-10-12 2.772371 3.216143 3.729253 4.371381 5.160457 6.107601 7.344453
2025-10-19 2.501632 3.011347 3.629703 4.445218 5.507807 6.867271 8.774603
2025-10-26 2.302800 2.854183 3.549232 4.505896 5.814633 7.582517 10.223730
2025-11-02 2.136414 2.712832 3.463081 4.533867 6.061739 8.226999 11.651044
2025-11-09 1.945804 2.518210 3.282341 4.405105 6.062993 8.507630 12.563815
2025-11-16 1.806850 2.379246 3.161305 4.341812 6.142001 8.898904 13.692133
2025-11-23 1.699772 2.274409 3.076662 4.318737 6.271753 9.374106 15.021901
2025-11-30 1.648315 2.242891 3.092063 4.442727 6.637794 10.266952 17.221763
2025-12-07 1.561394 2.153173 3.013848 4.412951 6.748914 10.741190 18.730840
2025-12-14 1.476764 2.060827 2.924193 4.355513 6.804725 11.120508 20.116073
2025-12-21 1.371629 1.931371 2.769037 4.178723 6.636971 11.072914 20.620471
2025-12-28 1.322865 1.886071 2.743507 4.217151 6.856696 11.784816 22.898740
2026-01-04 1.285946 1.856663 2.740789 4.293378 7.152437 12.684404 25.798413
2026-01-11 1.250771 1.827524 2.735904 4.364354 7.444674 13.617437 29.000592
2026-01-18 1.215906 1.796540 2.725385 4.423467 7.719217 14.552559 32.446836
2026-01-25 1.177671 1.757749 2.698942 4.450767 7.932737 15.386379 35.850894
2026-02-01 1.114960 1.675632 2.594161 4.324977 7.822243 15.477371 37.212720
2026-02-08 1.067875 1.617028 2.526291 4.263137 7.837464 15.859721 39.526063
2026-02-15 1.030569 1.572911 2.480960 4.240591 7.933010 16.446219 42.631453
2026-02-22 1.018567 1.570746 2.508898 4.361732 8.352024 17.892182 48.971825
2026-03-01 0.984088 1.528455 2.462766 4.332642 8.433912 18.496263 52.674129
2026-03-08 0.947715 1.481274 2.405299 4.276524 8.448482 18.926359 55.906085